Further indicators of the Era of declining economic growth

We enter the Era of long term declining global economic growth
The days of rapid economic growth underwritten by taxpayers’ money via central banks Alice in Wonderland/Magic pudding monetary policy has come to an end. This free money has driven profits of companies especially in the USA where revenue growth has been slow yet profits/earnings have [...]

US Presidential and Congress election 2012

Around 135 Million of the Voting Age Population (VAP) voted. That’s about 56% of the VAP. From 2000 to 2012 the percentage has declined from 58%. In Obama’s winners speech last night Simon Schama in an article in the UK Financial Times said Obama  spoke about “ how ……the ordinary people ennobled by the [...]

The era of slowing Global economic growth has begun

Global economic growth in developed countries has begun its long term( LT)  trend of decline. We can expect economic growth to decline below the long term average of around 4% pa. We can expect returns for equity markets to also slow and expect less that the LT average of 7% pa. This has implications for [...]

Efficiency – the evolutionary force of creative destruction to impact the future jobs market.

Process and production Innovation has since time immemorial been displacing jobs- spears, axes, invention of the wheel, weapons, printing press, steam engines, internal combustion engines, containerization, internet to name a few.
With the global population increasing, that only became sustained in the 19 th century due to improvements in public health infrastructure/ sanitation,  new jobs [...]

Evolutionary business cycle forces will prevail in the economy.

I have very serious concerns about the global economy for the rest of the year and into 2013.

We have oil and gold now signalling deflation.Crude Oil, United States Oil ETF (USO) fell below the lows of the previous 8 months, confirming its preexisting bearish trend. 

Gold, SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) fell below its 50-day [...]

Europe Union? -Germany and Russia Union?

The theory in the EU was everyone would abide by the rules and in acting responsibly the weaker states would put in place the necessary conditions to allow for sustained economic growth to take root. The expansion to 27 states was based on this assumption and of course the EU was not doubt encouraged by the [...]

Creating the world’s first floating country Kiribati part 2.

Shingo Nomura’s foundation is called the Center for Global Action and Sustainable Development (CGASD). Its members are over 20 of Japan’s leading specialists in engineering, architecture, ocean research and engineering, agriculture, education  and city planning  join the venture donating their time, expertise and patents. The CGASD will move its head quarters to Tarawa to undertake [...]

Creating the world’s first floating country part 1

I want to thank all those generous people who have taken the time to send me responses to my website and its posts. They have inspired me to do more posts more regularly and to add more of my real life experiences into the posts. I have been overseas on business travelling firstly in January [...]

what tectonic trends drive the world

In 2004 I gave a talk at the Australian Institute of Management (AIM) in Perth Western Australia on the four key driving forces in the world. Looking back on this talk I can see that these forces have intensified since 2004.  Three are big wave forces and one is a newly emerging force with the [...]

Searching for soul

Travel companies claim to have created a new niche market segment – responding to a new and growing travel demographic that wants ‘authentic’ personal experiences. These tourists want to interact with local people, participate in activities and not just be observers. Many are seeking a spiritual dimension to their travel. This trend [...]